Climate change to increase crop failure in U.S.

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract The literature has documented that climate change is likely to reduce crop yields of harvested acres in the United States. This study uses panel data methods document could also area. We find ‘crop failures’ are sensitive spring and fall temperature conditions. Using perturbations precipitation conditions, we show a uniform 1 ∘ C increase across U.S. with no adaptation expected cause about 3.2 million additional failed States, which equal 0.9% decline acreage. These harmful impacts predicted be stronger southern than northern For illustrative purposes, examine 3 warming scenario adaptation, project damage increases 11 lost acres, 3% decrease Projected local have little effect. effect failure must added previously measured reductions from implying more American production thought.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Environmental Research Letters

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1748-9326']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acac41